Alejandro Tabilo vs Pavel Kotov Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Tabilo has a slight advantage in second serve performance, winning 49.61% of points compared to Kotov's 48.32% in the past six months. Does this give Tabilo an edge in match prediction? Yes, as second serve performance highly correlates with match outcomes.
• In terms of return games, Kotov slightly edges Tabilo on both first and second serve returns, with Kotov winning 46.84% of second serve returns and 25.78% on first serve returns versus Tabilo's 46.35% and 25.61% respectively. Could this minor difference impact the match? Possibly, as return stats are important in tight matches.
• When facing breakpoints, Tabilo has saved 57.95%, slightly more effective than Kotov's 57.14%. This statistic suggests Tabilo might handle pressure situations marginally better.
• Throughout the last year, Tabilo has fared better in match wins with a 35.9% win rate, compared to Kotov's 28.57%. Is this indicative of overall form? It suggests Tabilo has been more competitive.
• Tabilo's optimal playing surface is clay, boasting a 61% win rate, whereas Kotov excels on indoor hard courts with a 65% win rate. Which surface favors the players? It depends on the upcoming match surface for advantage prediction.
• Regarding tour level performance, Kotov holds the upper hand on the Main tour, with a 37.5% win rate, surpassing Tabilo's 23.08%.
• Their head-to-head encounters favor Tabilo, who has won both meetings, including a three-setter in their latest match at Indian Wells.
• In stability under pressure, neither has yet won a tiebreak against the other, leaving extreme pressure situations unpredictable.
• Over the past year, Tabilo has faced opponents with a slightly higher average rank, implying possibly tougher competition compared to Kotov.
• For deciding sets, Kotov outperforms with a 54% win rate against Tabilo's 32%, a factor if the match extends to a decider.
• In terms of break point conversion, Tabilo is marginally more effective, converting 36.04% of opportunities versus Kotov’s 33.33%.

Editorial Prediction (September 8, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Tabilo and Kotov presents a compelling clash, as both players display areas of strength. Tabilo's slight edge in second serve performance and pressure management positions him as a robust competitor.

Although Kotov has shown better form on the Main tour and an impressive deciding set record, Tabilo's previous head-to-head victories and match experience against equally ranked opponents give him a psychological edge.

The deciding factor may rest on surface preferences, as each player has unique strengths depending on the type of court. Given these insights, Tabilo appears slightly more poised to secure a win in this match, although Kotov's capabilities should not be underestimated.